Triple-A Trickledown: Louisville

For the first time since April 25th, the Chiefs will meet the Triple-A Cincinnati Reds, the Louisville Bats. Here’s a look at what to expect for the 58-60 Bats…

Catcher: Bryan Anderson and Tucker Barnhart

23-year-old Barnhart has the most starts for Louisville this year, starting in 63 games for the Bats, followed by 27 year-old Anderson with 31 starts behind the plate. Barnhart, the Reds’ #10 prospect according to Baseball America, was called up from April 26-May 18 and from July 6-11 and played in 12 games for Cincinnati, hitting .232 through 64 games with 24 walks and 29 strikeouts. Anderson has the best numbers of the catching corps, batting .283 with five homers in 39 games. Since Barnhart has already been called up this year and he is on the 40-man roster, I’d guess that if anything were to happen to Devin Mesoraco or Brayan Pena, Barnhart would get the nod.

First Base: Thomas Neal and Neftali Soto

26 year-old Neal is batting .260 with 16 doubles and three homers in 92 games for the Bats this year and has played 46 games at first. Neal is in his first year with Louisville, but has spent the past three years in Triple-A (2011 with Fresno, 2012 with Akron, and 2013 with Scranton/Wilkes-Barre). Soto is the MLB veteran among the first baseman, playing 13 games for Cincy last year and playing 21 games this year for the Reds. However, he only has 3 hits in 42 at-bats (.071 batting average) and one RBI in the majors. Soto is on the 40-man roster, but is still in the minors even though All-Star 1B Joey Votto is on the DL with a strained left quad, so the odds of Soto making it back up to the majors this year is very slim.

 Second Base: Ruben Gotay, Hernan Iribarren, Donnie Murphy

Ruben Gotay

Three older veterans, 31 year-old Gotay, 30 year-old Iribarren, and 31 year-old Murphy roam second base for the Bats. Gotay is the starter at second, playing 73 games and is batting .257 on the year with 16 home runs, most of the team. He is also the team leader in games played with 111, runs scored with 76, walks with 53, and strikeouts with 102. Iribarren has played in 76 games, and has played second, third, shortstop, and the outfield. He is batting .238 on the year with 21 walks and 38 strikeouts. Murphy was signed to a minor league contract on July 19th after being released by the Texas Rangers and has played 10 games on the year, batting .152 with a home run and three RBIs before going on the Disabled List. None of these players are on the 40-man roster and Skip Schumaker has been holding down the fort while Brandon Phillips has been out with left-thumb surgery. (He’s expected to return in mid-August.) It is highly unlikely any of these guys will make the majors this year.

Shortstop: Jake Elmore, Rey Navarro

27 year-old Elmore is the most recent addition to the Louisville roster after being claimed off Oakland’s waivers on August 2nd. He spent the beginning of the year with Triple-A Sacramento, batting .282 with 15 doubles and stole nine bases in 47 games. Even though Navarro is only 24 years-old, he has been a part of three different farm systems (Diamondbacks, Royals, Reds) and is up in Triple-A for the second time after playing 17 games with Triple-A Omaha (Royals). Navarro has been spectacular at the dish for Louisville, batting .317 with 15 doubles, two home runs and has only struck out 18 times in 41 games. With shortstop Zack Cosart batting .219 with only two home runs and three steals up in Cincinnati, the Reds already called up Kris Negron from Louisville and neither Elmore nor Navarro are on the 40-man roster, so it is highly unlikely that either will make the majors this year, but the ceiling for Navarro appears to be high with a little more seasoning in Triple-A.

Third Base: Juan Silverio

23 year-old Silverio was called up to the Bats after hitting .274 with nine homers and a 44-10 K/BB rate in 64 games with Double-A Pensacola. He’s been trying to get his sea legs in Louisville, batting .243 with six extra-base hits and only two walks to 19 strikeouts in 25 games in his first stint in Triple-A. Of course, with most 23 year-olds, there is going to be a lot seasoning for Silverio and there is almost no shot that the Triple-A rookie has at being in the majors with his poor showing with Louisville. Also, Todd Frazier’s put up ridiculous numbers, Kris Negron can play most of the infield positions and the Bats have a number of super-utility players, so Silverio better get comfortable in Louisville.

Outfielders: Jason Bourgeois, Felix Perez, Steve Selsky

There are nine players on the Louisville current roster that have played at least one game in the outfield this year, but only 31 year-old Bourgeois (101) and 29-year old Perez (93) have played more than 35 games. Bourgeois is the stereotypical leadoff hitter, who has a high average of .288, on-base percentage of .337, and has 20 stolen bases, most on the team (the next highest base-stealer has two). He has played in 231 games with the White Sox (2008), Brewers (2009), Astros (2010-2011), Royals (2012), and Rays (2013).

Felix Perez

Perez is now in Louisville for his fourth season after defecting from Cuba in 2010. He is batting .275 on the year with 28 doubles and 10 home runs, but is a free swinger with only 23 walks in 98 games. 25-year old Selsky has played 35 games for the Bats since being called up from AA Pensacola after batting .301 and walking 29 times to own a .410 on-base percentage. None of these three are on the 40-man roster and the only one who is on the 40-man is Ryan LaMarre, who is on the 15-day DL, so it is unlikely any of these guys will make the Reds this year.

Starters: Dylan Axelrod, Josh Smith, Scott Diamond, Brett Marshall, David Holmberg

The starter to watch here is 23 year-old Holmberg, who came to Cincinnati as part of the Heath Bell to Tampa Bay deal and is a top-15 prospect in the Reds’ organization. Holmberg started one game for the Reds this year, but got lit up, allowing seven hits and five runs in 2.2 innings against the Cubs on July 8th. He has struggled in his first year at Triple-A, going 1-6 with a 4.90 ERA and a 1.68 WHIP in 15 starts.  26 year-old Smith is in his first year at Triple-A after being drafted in the 21st round in 2010. In 19 starts this year, Smith owns a 9-4 record but has a 4.42 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP, which are not good at all, but somehow he is getting wins. 28 year-old Diamond is the veteran of the group, having started 58 games for the Twins from 2011-2013. His 2012 campaign was his only good year, going 12-9 with a 3.54 ERA, but in 2011 and 2013 his ERAs were over 5.00 and has not been up to the majors since.

Brett Marshall

24-year-old Marshall is in his second year in Triple-A after spending last year with Scranton/Wilkes-Barre. None of Marshall’s numbers are good: 10 starts, 0-7, 39.2 innings, 8.62 ERA, 2.09 WHIP, and it’s surprising to see him still at Triple-A with consistent numbers that are nothing short of awful. 29 year-old Axelrod started in 30 games for the White Sox from 2011-2013 with a 5.36 ERA but has been excellent since being purchased from the Reds on July 17th, with a 2.60 ERA in four starts. He shut out Rochester on two hits earlier in the week. It is also important to note that left-hander Tony Cingrani is on the 15-Day DL with left shoulder tendinitis for the Bats, but there has been no timetable for his return. Holmberg is the only starter on the 40-man roster, but since he did not do well against one of the league’s worst teams, it is very unlikely to see him be called up again this year unless it’s an emergency spot-start.

Relievers: Ryan Dennick, Pedro Villarreal, Curtis Partch, Chad Rogers, Tim Crabbe, Justin Freeman, Fabio Castillo, Mikey O’Brien

27-year-old Freeman leads the team in saves with six, but has allowed 11 runs in 19.1 innings in his second year with Louisville. 27-year-old Partch is on the 40-man roster and has made six appearances with the Reds this year, throwing seven scoreless innings, but he’s also walked seven, so the control is not there for him. He was plagued last year with his poor control, walking 17 batters in 23.1 innings and it was a key factor of his 6.17 ERA last year in Cincinnati. 25 year-old Rogers is also on the 40-man roster but has not been up in the majors since being drafted in the 28th round in the 2010 draft. He’s currently in the middle of a transition from a starter to a reliever, having started every game from High-A Bakersfield to Louisville last year. The switch to a reliever was this year for Rogers and he owns a 4.69 ERA in 26 appearances for Louisville. 27-year-old Dennick is having the best 2014 campaign among Louisville relievers, going 4-0 with a miniscule 2.28 ERA in 48 appearances.

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